Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: https://ir.iimcal.ac.in:8443/jspui/handle/123456789/3055
Title: Role of futures market in price discovery
Authors: Kumar, Narender
Arora, Sunita
Keywords: Futures market
Commodity markets
Cointegration
Price discovery
Error correction
Issue Date: Dec-2013
Publisher: Indian Institute of Management Calcutta, Kolkata
Series/Report no.: Vol.40;No.3
Abstract: This study analyses the price discovery aspect of futures markets. Data on spot prices and near month futures prices of two non-precious metals, one highly traded, i.e. copper and other lowly traded, i.e. aluminium, on Multi Commodity Exchange of India Limited from January 2006 to December 2011 is analysed. Vector Error Correction Model (VECM) based on cointegration technique is applied. The study concludes that both the series of spot and futures prices are cointegrated of order one, and exhibit a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The results of VECM show that there is a bi-directional causality in spot and futures market but the futures market is found to be more sound in terms of discounting new information than the spot market.
Description: Sunita Arora, Department of Commerce, Government College for Women, Rohtak, India; Narender Kumar, Department of Commerce, Maharshi Dayanand University, Rohtak, India
p.165-179
Issue Editor – Bhaskar Chakrabarti, IIM Calcutta, Kolkata, India
URI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s40622-013-0019-8
https://ir.iimcal.ac.in:8443/jspui/handle/123456789/3055
ISSN: 0304-0941 (print version) ; 2197-1722 (electronic version)
Appears in Collections:Issue 3, December 2013

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